Race 1A

saisa-women-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Olivia Sowa 24.2% 21.7% 16.6% 12.2% 11.6% 7.6% 4.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Emily Allen 22.3% 21.1% 18.3% 13.5% 11.0% 7.0% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Fredrikke Foss 13.6% 13.5% 13.4% 14.5% 16.8% 12.6% 9.8% 5.2% 0.3% 0.3%
Chloe Sweeting 5.9% 8.1% 9.9% 12.3% 10.9% 18.3% 15.8% 12.1% 5.9% 0.8%
Emma Shakespeare 14.5% 15.1% 16.4% 16.0% 14.6% 10.2% 8.1% 3.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Grace Beard 10.5% 10.1% 11.7% 14.2% 14.3% 13.7% 14.0% 9.5% 1.6% 0.4%
Paige Berta 0.8% 0.9% 0.8% 2.0% 2.1% 2.8% 6.0% 11.1% 36.2% 37.3%
Chandler Scott 4.6% 4.8% 7.4% 8.6% 8.9% 14.6% 18.4% 21.3% 9.2% 2.2%
Mary Mann 2.9% 4.0% 5.4% 5.3% 7.3% 11.2% 15.0% 27.0% 16.3% 5.6%
Brooke Cheatham 0.7% 0.7% 0.1% 1.4% 2.5% 2.0% 3.8% 7.5% 28.0% 53.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.