Race 2A

saisa-women-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Emily Allen 23.9% 21.2% 16.7% 12.7% 11.3% 7.4% 4.0% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Emma Shakespeare 13.8% 16.1% 15.0% 15.9% 13.6% 11.7% 9.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3%
Olivia Sowa 22.4% 20.1% 16.5% 15.3% 13.1% 7.3% 3.8% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Grace Beard 7.9% 11.4% 13.6% 12.1% 14.7% 15.8% 12.7% 8.1% 3.4% 0.3%
Chandler Scott 5.0% 6.8% 6.2% 8.0% 8.7% 12.6% 18.4% 20.5% 10.9% 2.9%
Fredrikke Foss 16.1% 11.7% 15.2% 15.8% 14.1% 12.3% 8.7% 4.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Chloe Sweeting 6.2% 7.5% 9.5% 12.6% 12.3% 14.8% 17.8% 12.8% 5.0% 1.5%
Paige Berta 0.6% 1.1% 1.8% 1.6% 3.0% 4.0% 5.3% 12.4% 35.1% 35.1%
Mary Mann 3.3% 3.5% 4.9% 4.9% 7.5% 11.6% 16.2% 26.1% 16.7% 5.3%
Brooke Cheatham 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 1.1% 1.7% 2.5% 3.8% 8.5% 26.0% 54.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.