Race 2B

saisa-women-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lauren Mellinger 1.9% 1.6% 1.5% 3.7% 2.8% 4.3% 7.1% 12.6% 25.1% 39.4%
Sydney Monahan 28.8% 23.8% 17.3% 14.0% 8.8% 3.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Ayla Weisberg 6.1% 7.8% 7.5% 9.3% 11.1% 15.0% 17.5% 14.1% 8.8% 2.8%
Nina Lubchenco 22.8% 21.9% 18.2% 15.6% 10.8% 5.8% 3.2% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Maartje van Dam 12.8% 12.0% 15.7% 14.3% 14.5% 13.2% 9.4% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7%
Leah Cody 9.9% 8.7% 13.3% 11.7% 14.7% 13.0% 13.0% 9.1% 5.4% 1.2%
Nilah Miller 7.7% 12.3% 11.7% 13.8% 15.2% 15.0% 11.6% 7.9% 3.8% 1.0%
Clementine Matzky 5.0% 6.6% 7.8% 9.4% 10.4% 13.5% 16.0% 16.2% 10.6% 4.5%
Annika Milstien 3.8% 4.1% 5.4% 5.3% 8.6% 11.0% 13.6% 20.4% 19.6% 8.2%
Carolyn Staples 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 2.9% 3.1% 5.3% 6.1% 12.3% 24.1% 42.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.