Race 3B

saisa-women-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lauren Mellinger 2.1% 1.9% 1.5% 2.8% 3.1% 4.0% 7.6% 12.8% 25.0% 39.2%
Sydney Monahan 27.4% 23.1% 18.5% 11.7% 11.1% 4.9% 2.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Nilah Miller 9.2% 9.3% 10.6% 12.0% 15.0% 15.6% 12.7% 10.5% 4.2% 0.9%
Nina Lubchenco 21.0% 21.4% 18.4% 15.5% 11.2% 7.0% 4.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Annika Milstien 3.6% 5.1% 4.6% 5.8% 6.8% 9.7% 14.5% 22.0% 18.4% 9.5%
Clementine Matzky 6.7% 4.7% 7.2% 7.6% 11.8% 11.5% 15.8% 18.0% 13.0% 3.7%
Carolyn Staples 0.7% 1.1% 1.4% 2.5% 2.0% 5.0% 6.5% 10.2% 26.2% 44.4%
Mary McLauchlin 9.3% 12.2% 11.9% 15.0% 13.1% 14.3% 11.8% 8.4% 3.2% 0.8%
Leah Cody 8.7% 8.8% 12.3% 11.3% 14.1% 13.6% 15.2% 9.3% 5.5% 1.2%
Maartje van Dam 11.3% 12.4% 13.6% 15.8% 11.8% 14.4% 9.7% 6.4% 4.3% 0.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.