← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Penn State University1.13+1.19vs Predicted
-
2Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+0.87vs Predicted
-
3Syracuse University0.01+0.57vs Predicted
-
4Penn State Behrend0.41-0.90vs Predicted
-
5Colgate University-0.68-0.55vs Predicted
-
6University of Rochester-1.53-0.47vs Predicted
-
7University of Pittsburgh-2.23-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.19Penn State University1.1336.4%1st Place
-
2.87Rochester Institute of Technology0.4922.4%1st Place
-
3.57Syracuse University0.0113.2%1st Place
-
3.1Penn State Behrend0.4118.9%1st Place
-
4.45Colgate University-0.685.9%1st Place
-
5.53University of Rochester-1.532.6%1st Place
-
6.28University of Pittsburgh-2.230.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 36.4% | 29.8% | 17.7% | 11.6% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cole Bender | 22.4% | 22.0% | 22.4% | 17.3% | 11.4% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 13.2% | 14.3% | 19.5% | 21.2% | 20.6% | 9.4% | 1.8% |
| Anthony Farrar | 18.9% | 20.2% | 19.8% | 21.3% | 14.0% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Jack Pearlson | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 27.4% | 22.4% | 7.0% |
| Carlos Lopez | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 14.8% | 38.4% | 27.2% |
| Michael Grychowski | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 20.0% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.