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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+5.79vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.64+4.57vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.24vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.23+0.68vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles2.63+1.59vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.50+5.07vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.83-0.86vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.34+9.00vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University2.20-0.91vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.26-2.01vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.46-4.71vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay1.64-3.44vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University1.02-1.91vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon-0.09+0.45vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay0.71-3.20vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis0.64-3.95vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley1.40-7.81vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University1.62-9.42vs Predicted
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21California Poly Maritime Academy0.11-5.21vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.07-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.79University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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6.57University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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6.24California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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4.68Stanford University3.230.2%1st Place
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6.59University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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11.07University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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6.14California Poly Maritime Academy2.830.1%1st Place
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17.0University of California at Davis-0.340.0%1st Place
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8.09Santa Clara University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.99Stanford University2.260.1%1st Place
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7.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.460.1%1st Place
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10.56California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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13.09Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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16.45University of Oregon-0.090.0%1st Place
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13.8California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
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14.05University of California at Davis0.640.0%1st Place
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11.19University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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10.58Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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15.79California Poly Maritime Academy0.110.0%1st Place
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16.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mallory Schluter | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 16.5% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Edwards | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Dillon Lancaster | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 19.6% | 30.4% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tally Buckstaff | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Walsh | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Alex Waldron | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Marissa Paulling | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 17.7% | 22.9% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Elizabeth Thome | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 4.6% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Ashley Vincent | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nevin Garcia | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 15.0% |
| Macy Stout | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 17.4% | 17.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.