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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+1.17vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+0.89vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend0.410.00vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.01-0.56vs Predicted
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5Colgate University-1.04-0.15vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-1.53-0.51vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.23-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Penn State University1.1337.1%1st Place
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2.89Rochester Institute of Technology0.4920.6%1st Place
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3.0Penn State Behrend0.4120.5%1st Place
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3.44Syracuse University0.0114.0%1st Place
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4.85Colgate University-1.044.3%1st Place
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5.49University of Rochester-1.532.1%1st Place
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6.17University of Pittsburgh-2.231.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 37.1% | 28.3% | 20.1% | 10.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Cole Bender | 20.6% | 22.9% | 22.5% | 19.2% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Anthony Farrar | 20.5% | 20.7% | 19.7% | 21.9% | 12.4% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 14.0% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 23.2% | 17.1% | 8.0% | 1.5% |
| Lewis Gibbons | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 27.8% | 28.2% | 12.0% |
| Carlos Lopez | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 18.8% | 33.9% | 27.3% |
| Michael Grychowski | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 10.4% | 21.9% | 57.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.