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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.47+1.59vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.53+2.26vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.60+1.11vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.90-0.41vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.70-1.06vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-0.77+0.42vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-0.27-1.29vs Predicted
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8Ohio University-0.15-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59University of Wisconsin1.470.3%1st Place
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4.26University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
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4.11University of Notre Dame0.600.1%1st Place
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3.59University of Michigan0.900.2%1st Place
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3.94Northwestern University0.700.1%1st Place
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6.42Northwestern University-0.770.0%1st Place
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5.71Michigan State University-0.270.1%1st Place
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5.37Ohio University-0.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Macdonald | 31.2% | 27.2% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Brody Schwartz | 10.9% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 4.9% |
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 12.7% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 4.3% |
| Emily Pytell | 17.0% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 14.4% | 12.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Marina Hutzler | 13.2% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Gabriel Abbott | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 18.3% | 44.1% |
| Dominique DeLano | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 23.1% | 23.9% |
| Nick Maude | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 16.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.