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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan0.90+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan0.53+2.29vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.47-0.33vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-0.27+1.67vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.70-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.60-1.95vs Predicted
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7Ohio University-0.15-1.51vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.77-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52University of Michigan0.900.2%1st Place
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4.29University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
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2.67University of Wisconsin1.470.3%1st Place
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5.67Michigan State University-0.270.1%1st Place
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3.94Northwestern University0.700.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Notre Dame0.600.1%1st Place
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5.49Ohio University-0.150.1%1st Place
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6.37Northwestern University-0.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Pytell | 17.6% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.3% |
| Brody Schwartz | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 5.2% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 31.6% | 22.0% | 18.4% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Dominique DeLano | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 21.9% | 23.4% |
| Marina Hutzler | 12.0% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% |
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 13.6% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 5.0% |
| Nick Maude | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 21.2% | 20.4% |
| Gabriel Abbott | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 20.8% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.