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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.47+1.63vs Predicted
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2Ohio University-0.15+3.46vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.27+2.63vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.53+0.25vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.77+1.43vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.60-1.89vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.90-3.34vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.70-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63University of Wisconsin1.470.3%1st Place
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5.46Ohio University-0.150.1%1st Place
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5.63Michigan State University-0.270.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Michigan0.530.1%1st Place
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6.43Northwestern University-0.770.0%1st Place
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4.11University of Notre Dame0.600.1%1st Place
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3.66University of Michigan0.900.2%1st Place
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3.83Northwestern University0.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Macdonald | 30.5% | 24.9% | 19.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Nick Maude | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 21.3% | 18.5% |
| Dominique DeLano | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 20.8% | 24.0% |
| Brody Schwartz | 11.1% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 10.2% | 4.7% |
| Gabriel Abbott | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 20.5% | 42.4% |
| Nicholas Peluchiwski | 12.5% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Emily Pytell | 16.1% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Marina Hutzler | 14.4% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.