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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.41+2.04vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+0.90vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.01+0.46vs Predicted
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4Penn State University1.13-1.84vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-1.53+0.48vs Predicted
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6Colgate University-1.04-1.17vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.23-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Penn State Behrend0.4117.9%1st Place
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2.9Rochester Institute of Technology0.4920.6%1st Place
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3.46Syracuse University0.0113.1%1st Place
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2.16Penn State University1.1337.9%1st Place
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5.48University of Rochester-1.533.2%1st Place
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4.83Colgate University-1.045.1%1st Place
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6.13University of Pittsburgh-2.232.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 17.9% | 21.9% | 21.8% | 20.5% | 12.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Cole Bender | 20.6% | 21.8% | 22.4% | 21.3% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 13.1% | 16.4% | 20.2% | 23.6% | 17.1% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 37.9% | 28.7% | 18.5% | 10.2% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Carlos Lopez | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 18.6% | 35.4% | 26.6% |
| Lewis Gibbons | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 26.6% | 27.8% | 12.9% |
| Michael Grychowski | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 10.7% | 21.0% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.