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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.64+5.28vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.46+4.94vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.83+2.59vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.57+2.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.40+5.36vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles2.63+0.16vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.02+4.73vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.50+1.98vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands2.77-3.36vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.23-6.49vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy0.11+2.52vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University2.20-5.13vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.34+1.37vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis0.64-2.25vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay1.64-7.43vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.62-8.25vs Predicted
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19University of Oregon-0.09-3.92vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay0.71-7.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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6.94University of California at Santa Barbara2.460.1%1st Place
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5.59California Poly Maritime Academy2.830.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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10.36University of California at Berkeley1.400.0%1st Place
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6.16University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
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11.73Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.98University of California at Los Angeles1.500.0%1st Place
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5.64California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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4.51Stanford University3.230.2%1st Place
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14.52California Poly Maritime Academy0.110.0%1st Place
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7.87Santa Clara University2.200.1%1st Place
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15.37University of California at Davis-0.340.0%1st Place
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12.75University of California at Davis0.640.0%1st Place
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9.57California State University Monterey Bay1.640.0%1st Place
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9.75Western Washington University1.620.0%1st Place
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15.08University of Oregon-0.090.0%1st Place
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12.64California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hutcheson | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Walsh | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Lancaster | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mallory Schluter | 9.5% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Goldberg | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Waldron | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 2.7% |
| William Edwards | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Gregory Dair | 9.9% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 16.5% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Garcia | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 15.7% | 19.7% | 20.1% |
| JOHN CONNOR BATHEN | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Casey Pruitt | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 20.2% | 33.7% |
| Elizabeth Thome | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 6.0% |
| Zachary Haney | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Ashley Vincent | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Marissa Paulling | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 21.1% | 27.7% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.