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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.07+1.06vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.48+2.41vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-0.00+0.61vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.05-0.46vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-0.62-0.38vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-0.79-1.12vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.20-1.37vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-2.56-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06University of Wisconsin1.070.4%1st Place
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4.41Northwestern University-0.480.1%1st Place
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3.61Michigan State University-0.000.1%1st Place
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3.54University of Michigan0.050.1%1st Place
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4.62Northwestern University-0.620.1%1st Place
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4.88Ohio University-0.790.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Michigan-1.200.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Notre Dame-2.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Schweda | 44.5% | 26.4% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Maxime Visa | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 20.5% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 4.4% |
| Naveen Kumanan | 14.5% | 16.9% | 19.8% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Stephens | 14.1% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Owen Lubben | 6.6% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 4.3% |
| Siri Schantz | 6.7% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 18.1% | 6.6% |
| Anna Brieden | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 28.9% | 14.5% |
| Marcelo Bernath Piccolotto | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 15.2% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.