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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+1.93vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.41+1.13vs Predicted
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3Penn State University1.13-0.83vs Predicted
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4Colgate University-0.68+0.39vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.01-1.48vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-1.53-0.44vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.23-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Rochester Institute of Technology0.4918.4%1st Place
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3.13Penn State Behrend0.4118.2%1st Place
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2.17Penn State University1.1337.9%1st Place
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4.39Colgate University-0.686.8%1st Place
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3.52Syracuse University0.0114.3%1st Place
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5.56University of Rochester-1.533.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Pittsburgh-2.231.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 18.4% | 24.1% | 23.3% | 18.9% | 11.1% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Anthony Farrar | 18.2% | 19.8% | 20.8% | 19.9% | 15.2% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 37.9% | 28.2% | 18.6% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack Pearlson | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 28.1% | 20.8% | 6.8% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 14.3% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 23.2% | 19.8% | 8.6% | 1.7% |
| Carlos Lopez | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 14.9% | 38.6% | 28.0% |
| Michael Grychowski | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 21.8% | 62.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.