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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+10.47vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+10.67vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+6.42vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.57+7.68vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.93+0.72vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.38+2.01vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.42+1.05vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.69-1.49vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.63vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.66+1.32vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.94-0.98vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.20vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.01-3.09vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.47-6.51vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.12-5.82vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.14vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.68-1.70vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.16-4.46vs Predicted
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19Stanford University2.04-5.05vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin2.65-8.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.47Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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12.67University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.42Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.68Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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5.72Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.01Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.05Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.51Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.63St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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11.32University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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10.02Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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11.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.91Boston College3.010.0%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.18Harvard University3.120.1%1st Place
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12.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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15.3College of Charleston1.680.0%1st Place
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13.54Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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13.95Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.48University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| JC Hermus | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Eli Burnes | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| John Ped | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 25.5% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 13.4% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 15.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.