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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.01+7.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+3.50vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.09+5.83vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.47+3.08vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+6.10vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.04+6.96vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+4.97vs Predicted
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8Tulane University2.94+1.61vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+5.35vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.69-3.95vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.66-0.34vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.38-4.26vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.57-2.24vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.42-6.57vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.68-0.72vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-6.92vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.65-6.39vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.16-5.33vs Predicted
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19Tufts University2.61-8.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Boston College3.010.0%1st Place
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5.5Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.83Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.08Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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12.96Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.97University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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9.61Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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14.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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6.05Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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7.74Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.76Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.43Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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14.28College of Charleston1.680.0%1st Place
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9.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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10.61University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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12.67Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.33Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.3% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.0% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 13.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Alex Abate | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 14.4% | 23.9% |
| JC Hermus | 11.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Jack Reiter | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 26.0% |
| Owen Hennessey | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Clayton Snyder | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% |
| Samuel Merson | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.