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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.01+8.08vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.16+10.68vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+7.83vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.66+6.63vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+7.15vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.42+1.31vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.94+2.38vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.04+5.30vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+1.62vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.09-1.52vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.57-0.11vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+2.98vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.38-5.82vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-4.78vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.69-8.80vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.47-8.98vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.93-11.62vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.68-3.58vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.65-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.08Boston College3.010.0%1st Place
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12.68Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.83Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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10.63University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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12.15University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.31Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.38Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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13.3Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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8.48Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.89Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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14.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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7.18Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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6.2Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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5.38Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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14.42College of Charleston1.680.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 9.6% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 2.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Alex Abate | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 25.7% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| JC Hermus | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.8% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 22.5% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.