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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.47+6.09vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.94+7.41vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.38+4.54vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.69+2.24vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+6.11vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.01+2.96vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.66+3.69vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.93-2.40vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.61+1.55vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.42-2.86vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-2.34vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.57-0.71vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-1.38vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+0.77vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.92vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.04-2.89vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.68-2.58vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.16-5.44vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.65-8.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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9.41Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.54Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.24Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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8.96Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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5.6Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.55Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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7.14Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.29Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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11.62University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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14.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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9.08St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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13.11Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
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14.42College of Charleston1.680.0%1st Place
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12.56Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| JC Hermus | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.0% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
| Alex Abate | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 25.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 12.2% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 24.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.6% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.