← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+1.91vs Predicted
-
2Penn State University1.13+0.18vs Predicted
-
3Penn State Behrend0.41+0.04vs Predicted
-
4Colgate University-0.68+0.46vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University0.01-1.40vs Predicted
-
6University of Rochester-1.53-0.43vs Predicted
-
7University of Pittsburgh-2.23-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.91Rochester Institute of Technology0.4921.2%1st Place
-
2.18Penn State University1.1337.2%1st Place
-
3.04Penn State Behrend0.4119.0%1st Place
-
4.46Colgate University-0.686.6%1st Place
-
3.6Syracuse University0.0112.0%1st Place
-
5.57University of Rochester-1.532.4%1st Place
-
6.24University of Pittsburgh-2.231.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 21.2% | 22.6% | 21.9% | 18.9% | 10.2% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 37.2% | 28.7% | 19.1% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Farrar | 19.0% | 20.4% | 22.3% | 19.4% | 13.6% | 4.8% | 0.5% |
| Jack Pearlson | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 27.4% | 21.2% | 7.8% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 12.0% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 22.4% | 19.7% | 10.2% | 1.8% |
| Carlos Lopez | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 16.4% | 37.4% | 28.3% |
| Michael Grychowski | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 21.2% | 60.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.