← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University2.94+8.37vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.38+5.54vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University3.69+3.36vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin2.65+6.68vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.36+7.14vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.12vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.09+1.70vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+3.11vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.57+1.69vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.47-3.04vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.93-5.61vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston1.68+2.79vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+1.36vs Predicted
-
14University of Miami2.66-3.31vs Predicted
-
15Boston College3.01-6.10vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University2.04-2.94vs Predicted
-
17Brown University3.42-9.71vs Predicted
-
18Fordham University2.16-5.46vs Predicted
-
19Tufts University2.61-8.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.37Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
-
7.54Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
6.36Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
10.68University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
-
12.14University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
-
8.7Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
-
11.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
-
10.69Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
-
6.96Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
-
5.39Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
14.79College of Charleston1.680.0%1st Place
-
14.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
-
10.69University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
-
8.9Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
-
13.06Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
-
7.29Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
-
12.54Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
-
10.33Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| JC Hermus | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 24.8% |
| Alex Abate | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 22.7% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 13.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.