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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.57+10.08vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.09+6.84vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+2.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+3.45vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.38+2.78vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+3.22vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.47+0.22vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+3.12vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.69-2.80vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.36+1.95vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.16+1.87vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.01-2.49vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.65-2.44vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.68+0.80vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.94-5.65vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.04-2.71vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-6.15vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-5.90vs Predicted
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19University of Miami2.66-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.08Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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8.84Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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5.57Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.45Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.78Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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7.22Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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11.12Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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6.2Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.95University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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12.87Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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9.51Boston College3.010.0%1st Place
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10.56University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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14.8College of Charleston1.680.0%1st Place
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9.35Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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13.29Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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12.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Mowry | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.3% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Jack Reiter | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| JC Hermus | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Parker Colantuono | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 11.4% |
| Jack DeNatale | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 28.3% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 14.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
| John Ped | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.