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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+6.58vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.01+7.16vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+2.58vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.66+6.75vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.57+6.42vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.47+1.17vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.69-0.66vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.61+3.15vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+0.12vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.94-0.66vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60-0.14vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.04+1.69vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-1.04vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.09-5.14vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.42-7.62vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.36-4.12vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.16-4.21vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.68-3.38vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.65-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.16Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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5.58Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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11.42Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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6.34Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.15Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.34Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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13.69Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.310.0%1st Place
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8.86Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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7.38Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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12.79Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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14.62College of Charleston1.680.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 5.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.5% | 12.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 10.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| JC Hermus | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 17.0% |
| John Ped | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 27.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.