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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.66+9.56vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.38+5.49vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.01+6.12vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.42+3.31vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.65+5.87vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.47+1.05vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.69-0.70vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98+1.35vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.93-3.66vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+0.72vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.61-0.24vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.94-2.38vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.65+1.40vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.16-1.17vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.36-3.32vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.09-7.56vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.57-6.10vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.04-4.90vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston1.68-4.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.56University of Miami2.660.0%1st Place
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7.49Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.12Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.31Brown University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.87University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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7.05Dartmouth College3.470.1%1st Place
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6.3Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.35St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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5.34Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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10.76Tufts University2.610.0%1st Place
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9.62Tulane University2.940.0%1st Place
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14.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.650.0%1st Place
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12.83Fordham University2.160.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.44Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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10.9Boston University2.570.0%1st Place
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13.1Stanford University2.040.0%1st Place
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14.15College of Charleston1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% |
| Jack Reiter | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Jack DeNatale | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christian Spencer | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| JC Hermus | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.8% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% |
| Samuel Merson | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Alex Abate | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 25.8% |
| Clayton Snyder | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 13.4% | 9.9% |
| Parker Colantuono | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
| John Kirkpatrick | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% |
| Pierce Ornstein | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.