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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.81+8.37vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.84+7.25vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.07+9.94vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.09+8.80vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.04+3.31vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.43+0.67vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.49+4.26vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.22-0.70vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.23+3.10vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.71-0.14vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30+0.86vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.50-0.82vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.48-1.67vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-4.42vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.80-5.53vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-6.04vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.63-6.99vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.50-7.04vs Predicted
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19Stanford University2.77-9.51vs Predicted
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20University of Miami1.24-3.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.37Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.25Harvard University2.840.1%1st Place
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12.94Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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12.8University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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8.31Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.67Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.26U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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7.3Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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12.1Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.86Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.0%1st Place
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11.18Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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11.33College of Charleston2.480.0%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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10.01Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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10.96Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.49Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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16.29University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Henry Burnes | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Micky Munns | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gray Benson | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Asher Zittrer | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Taft Buckley | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 5.0% |
| James Paul | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Max Anker | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Porter Kavle | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| Justin Lim | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Ward | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 38.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.