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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.81+7.99vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.43+4.35vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.49+7.49vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.04+3.91vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.50+5.58vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.23+5.42vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.50+3.34vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30+3.49vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.48+1.21vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-0.93vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.22-3.90vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.63-1.89vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.80-4.28vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.77-4.68vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.07-2.94vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-6.61vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.09-4.87vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.71-8.74vs Predicted
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19University of Miami1.24-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.99Boston College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.35Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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10.49U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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7.91Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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10.58Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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11.42Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.34Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.0%1st Place
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10.21College of Charleston2.480.0%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.1Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.11Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.72University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.32Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.06Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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12.13University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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9.26Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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15.06University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Gray Benson | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.1% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| James Paul | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Taft Buckley | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% |
| Max Anker | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Justin Lim | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| Micky Munns | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.