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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.81+7.90vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30+9.22vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.23vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin2.09+8.15vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.50+5.58vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.80+2.82vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.63+2.70vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.49+2.61vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.23+2.29vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.22-3.02vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.50-0.63vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.04-3.82vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.43-6.92vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.71-4.51vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.07-2.99vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.77-7.12vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.48-6.64vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-8.63vs Predicted
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19University of Miami0.99-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.9Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.22St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.0%1st Place
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9.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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12.15University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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10.58Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.7Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.61U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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11.29Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.98Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.37Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.18Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.08Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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12.01Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.88Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.36College of Charleston2.480.0%1st Place
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9.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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15.78University of Miami0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Taft Buckley | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 7.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Gray Benson | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 5.6% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| James Paul | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Micky Munns | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.1% |
| Justin Lim | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Max Anker | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.