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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.23+10.53vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.07+10.23vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.04+4.95vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.50+6.33vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin2.09+7.40vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.49+4.17vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30+4.19vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.63+1.98vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.50+1.09vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.80-1.15vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.77-1.95vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-2.58vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.43-6.97vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.81-4.99vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.22-7.93vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.71-6.83vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.48-6.62vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-8.62vs Predicted
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19University of Miami0.99-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.53Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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12.23Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.95Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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10.33Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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12.4University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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11.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.0%1st Place
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9.98Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.09Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.85University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.05Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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6.03Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.01Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.07Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.38College of Charleston2.480.0%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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15.75University of Miami0.990.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Zittrer | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% |
| Micky Munns | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.9% |
| Gray Benson | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% |
| Taft Buckley | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 4.4% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| James Paul | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Justin Lim | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.7% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Alex Fasolo | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Max Anker | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Magnus Weissenberger | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.