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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.49+1.87vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.41+1.03vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.01+0.47vs Predicted
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4Penn State University1.13-1.87vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-2.23+1.22vs Predicted
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6Colgate University-1.04-1.13vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester-1.53-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Rochester Institute of Technology0.4921.3%1st Place
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3.03Penn State Behrend0.4119.1%1st Place
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3.47Syracuse University0.0112.4%1st Place
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2.13Penn State University1.1338.8%1st Place
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6.22University of Pittsburgh-2.231.3%1st Place
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4.87Colgate University-1.043.9%1st Place
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5.42University of Rochester-1.533.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 21.3% | 22.4% | 23.6% | 18.1% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Anthony Farrar | 19.1% | 20.1% | 22.4% | 21.1% | 12.4% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 12.4% | 16.4% | 20.6% | 23.4% | 18.2% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 38.8% | 28.8% | 17.8% | 10.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grychowski | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 8.9% | 21.4% | 60.1% |
| Lewis Gibbons | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 13.9% | 27.4% | 27.9% | 12.2% |
| Carlos Lopez | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 19.2% | 35.0% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.