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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.30+2.75vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.49vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45+0.42vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48+1.26vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11-0.98vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.26-0.18vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.69-0.02vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.84-3.36vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.85-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
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4.49U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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3.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.2%1st Place
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5.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.1%1st Place
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4.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.2%1st Place
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5.82SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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6.98University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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4.64Georgetown University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.61Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Hoffmann | 17.5% | 17.6% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| George Prieto | 9.9% | 12.3% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| Kelly Crane | 22.0% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Reilly | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 9.3% |
| Wick Dudley | 16.2% | 17.0% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Scott Lubliner | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 14.9% |
| William Pilling | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 21.5% | 34.7% |
| Michael Schalka | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 5.4% |
| John O'Riordan | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 20.0% | 27.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.