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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.50+8.82vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.22+4.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.49+6.91vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+4.66vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.63+4.47vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.04+1.44vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+8.01vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.77+0.89vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.09+2.28vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.50-0.34vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.80-2.54vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.81-3.29vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.43-7.28vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.07-2.29vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.71-6.31vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.23-5.18vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston2.06-5.41vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-9.17vs Predicted
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19University of Miami-1.30-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.82Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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6.83Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.91U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.47Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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15.01St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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8.89Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.28University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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9.66Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.71Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.72Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.71Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.69Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.82Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.59College of Charleston2.060.0%1st Place
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8.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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18.51University of Miami-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Paul | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gray Benson | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Porter Kavle | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 9.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 13.1% | 39.1% | 6.6% |
| Justin Lim | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.2% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 1.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Howard | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 0.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| James Nappo | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 88.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.