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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.09+10.50vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.49+7.79vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.22+3.85vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.50+5.81vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.23+6.23vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.77+2.54vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.63vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.80+0.66vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.50+0.59vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-1.16vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+4.06vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.71-2.85vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.04-5.81vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.07-2.30vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.81-6.62vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.43-10.15vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.63-7.78vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston2.06-6.53vs Predicted
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19University of Miami-1.30-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.5University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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6.85Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.81Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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11.23Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.54Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.66University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.59Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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15.06St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.19Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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11.7Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.38Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.85Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.22Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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11.47College of Charleston2.060.0%1st Place
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18.52University of Miami-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 1.2% |
| Gray Benson | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 0.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| James Paul | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Asher Zittrer | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 0.5% |
| Justin Lim | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 38.4% | 6.7% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Micky Munns | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 0.5% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Howard | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 1.0% |
| James Nappo | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 88.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.