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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+7.89vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+7.17vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.50+7.02vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.06+7.97vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.23+6.48vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.43+0.09vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.81+1.64vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.71+1.25vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.77-0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.80-1.53vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.07+0.90vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.63-2.29vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.50-3.36vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.04-6.31vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.22-8.19vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.49-6.19vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.09-5.32vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-2.47vs Predicted
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19University of Miami1.24-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.0%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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10.02Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.97College of Charleston2.060.0%1st Place
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11.48Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.09Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.64Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.58Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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11.9Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.71Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.64Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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7.69Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.81Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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15.53St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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14.67University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Jack Howard | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.1% |
| Asher Zittrer | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 13.8% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Justin Lim | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Micky Munns | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| James Paul | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Gray Benson | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Max Kleha | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 14.7% | 34.9% |
| Zachary Ward | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 26.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.