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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.50+9.02vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.04+5.62vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+3.13vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.23+7.25vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.43vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.80+2.56vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+1.86vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.50+2.22vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.06+2.65vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.81-1.50vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.49-1.02vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.63-2.26vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.71-4.32vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.09-2.09vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.22-8.16vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-0.51vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.77-8.30vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.07-6.23vs Predicted
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19University of Miami1.24-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.02Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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7.62Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.13Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.25Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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8.56University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.22Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.65College of Charleston2.060.0%1st Place
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8.5Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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9.74Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.68Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.91University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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6.84Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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15.49St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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8.7Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.77Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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14.65University of Miami1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Paul | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Asher Zittrer | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Aidan naughton | 7.7% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Jack Howard | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Gray Benson | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.9% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Max Kleha | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 17.5% | 34.8% |
| Justin Lim | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Micky Munns | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% |
| Zachary Ward | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.