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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+5.41vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.04+5.98vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30+8.24vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.50+5.91vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.48+5.07vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.23+5.28vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.71+2.12vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.07+3.80vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.22-2.13vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.80-1.01vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.77-1.95vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.50-1.50vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.81-4.42vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.49-4.27vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.09-3.22vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-6.67vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.63-7.35vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.98Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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11.24St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.0%1st Place
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9.91Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.07College of Charleston2.480.0%1st Place
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11.28Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.12Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.8Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.87Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.05Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.5Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.58Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.73U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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9.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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9.65Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jack Murphy | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Taft Buckley | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 7.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| Max Anker | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% |
| Asher Zittrer | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Micky Munns | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 15.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Aidan naughton | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% |
| Justin Lim | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% |
| James Paul | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Gray Benson | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.