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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.49+9.29vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.50+8.34vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.22+4.22vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+5.16vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.07+6.75vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.81+2.68vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.43-0.85vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.04-0.36vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.63+0.46vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.30+1.20vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.77-1.95vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.50-1.51vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76-4.21vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.23-3.03vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.71-5.89vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.48-5.77vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.09-5.04vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.80-9.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.29U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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10.34Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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7.22Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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11.75Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.68Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.15Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.64Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.46Fordham University2.630.0%1st Place
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11.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.300.0%1st Place
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9.05Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.49Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.97Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.11Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.23College of Charleston2.480.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gray Benson | 4.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| James Paul | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% |
| Micky Munns | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 14.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Porter Kavle | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% |
| Taft Buckley | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% |
| Justin Lim | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.3% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% |
| Max Anker | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 15.1% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.