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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+6.63vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.50+7.95vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.43+3.05vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68+4.78vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.50+4.62vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+2.65vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.63+2.15vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.71+0.73vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.22-2.40vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.49+0.03vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.09+0.58vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.80-3.24vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.77-4.59vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+0.69vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.06-3.49vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.07-4.37vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.81-8.47vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.23-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.63Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.95Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.05Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.1%1st Place
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9.62Dartmouth College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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9.15Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.6Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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11.58University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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8.41Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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14.69St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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11.51College of Charleston2.060.0%1st Place
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11.63Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.53Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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10.7Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| James Paul | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Alex Fasolo | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Gray Benson | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Justin Lim | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Max Kleha | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 14.5% | 41.1% |
| Jack Howard | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 9.3% |
| Micky Munns | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Asher Zittrer | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.