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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.43+5.14vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.76+6.80vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.23+8.11vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.81+4.30vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.04+2.35vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.50+3.72vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.80+1.40vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.49+1.63vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.06+2.57vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin2.09+1.71vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.07+0.62vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.68-2.71vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.22-6.39vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.71-5.52vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-0.08vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.50-6.23vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.77-8.36vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.63-9.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Yale University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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11.11Tulane University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.3Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.35Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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9.72Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Rhode Island2.800.1%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Naval Academy2.490.0%1st Place
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11.57College of Charleston2.060.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Wisconsin2.090.0%1st Place
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11.62Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.680.0%1st Place
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6.61Georgetown University3.220.1%1st Place
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8.48Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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14.92St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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9.77Roger Williams University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.64Stanford University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.94Fordham University2.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Nicolosi | 10.4% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Asher Zittrer | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% |
| Robert Hunter | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| James Paul | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| Aidan naughton | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Gray Benson | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Jack Howard | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 7.4% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.1% |
| Micky Munns | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Mariner Fagan | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Alex Fasolo | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Max Kleha | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 42.9% |
| Cameron Wood | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Justin Lim | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Porter Kavle | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.