← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Penn State Behrend-0.45+2.21vs Predicted
-
2Colgate University-0.22+0.90vs Predicted
-
3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55+0.34vs Predicted
-
4Penn State University-1.01+0.12vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-0.10-2.27vs Predicted
-
6University of Rochester-2.03-0.56vs Predicted
-
7University of Pittsburgh-2.92-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.21Penn State Behrend-0.4518.8%1st Place
-
2.9Colgate University-0.2222.6%1st Place
-
3.34Rochester Institute of Technology-0.5516.7%1st Place
-
4.12Penn State University-1.0110.2%1st Place
-
2.73Syracuse University-0.1027.0%1st Place
-
5.44University of Rochester-2.033.4%1st Place
-
6.26University of Pittsburgh-2.921.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Nill | 18.8% | 18.1% | 19.6% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Spear | 22.6% | 22.9% | 20.5% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Josh Elliott | 16.7% | 18.2% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 9.0% | 1.7% |
| Nathan Mascia | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 18.8% | 23.1% | 18.6% | 5.6% |
| Tucker Ballou | 27.0% | 22.7% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Will Sexter | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 37.4% | 26.8% |
| Jonah Belback | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 20.0% | 63.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.