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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.11+3.11vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.55vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.26+2.87vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-0.61vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.85+1.43vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.69+0.89vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.30-3.28vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.84-3.37vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.48-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.110.2%1st Place
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4.55U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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5.87SUNY Maritime College2.260.1%1st Place
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3.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.2%1st Place
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6.43Fordham University1.850.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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3.72Old Dominion University3.300.2%1st Place
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4.63Georgetown University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wick Dudley | 15.5% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| George Prieto | 11.5% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 4.1% |
| Scott Lubliner | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 15.9% |
| Kelly Crane | 20.9% | 20.6% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| John O'Riordan | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 17.4% | 27.1% |
| William Pilling | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 21.2% | 33.0% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 17.6% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Michael Schalka | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Kevin Reilly | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.