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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend-0.45+2.13vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55+1.33vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.01+1.10vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.10-1.18vs Predicted
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5Colgate University-0.22-2.07vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-2.03-0.66vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.92-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Penn State Behrend-0.4519.7%1st Place
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3.33Rochester Institute of Technology-0.5516.8%1st Place
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4.1Penn State University-1.0110.1%1st Place
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2.82Syracuse University-0.1023.8%1st Place
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2.93Colgate University-0.2224.3%1st Place
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5.34University of Rochester-2.034.2%1st Place
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6.36University of Pittsburgh-2.921.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Nill | 19.7% | 19.8% | 19.6% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Josh Elliott | 16.8% | 18.6% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 16.7% | 9.0% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Mascia | 10.1% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 23.5% | 19.2% | 5.2% |
| Tucker Ballou | 23.8% | 23.2% | 20.2% | 17.2% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Spear | 24.3% | 19.6% | 20.7% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Will Sexter | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 14.8% | 39.1% | 23.1% |
| Jonah Belback | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 18.1% | 68.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.