Race 3A

robert-p-arrigan-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Scott Hoffmann 18.0% 16.7% 14.6% 16.6% 11.0% 9.9% 7.4% 4.6% 1.2%
Wick Dudley 11.4% 15.1% 15.6% 13.7% 14.0% 11.8% 9.8% 6.2% 2.4%
Kelly Crane 21.4% 18.0% 17.1% 14.1% 10.2% 9.1% 6.8% 2.5% 0.8%
Kevin Reilly 7.7% 9.4% 9.9% 11.0% 11.1% 13.6% 14.2% 13.6% 9.5%
Michael Schalka 12.0% 13.7% 14.2% 10.9% 11.8% 11.8% 11.3% 8.5% 5.8%
George Prieto 13.6% 13.1% 13.1% 14.1% 15.2% 12.3% 9.1% 6.5% 3.0%
Scott Lubliner 6.6% 5.6% 7.3% 9.0% 10.0% 14.0% 14.9% 18.4% 14.2%
John O'Riordan 5.1% 4.1% 4.6% 6.4% 8.6% 8.6% 15.3% 19.1% 28.2%
William Pilling 4.2% 4.3% 3.6% 4.2% 8.1% 8.9% 11.2% 20.6% 34.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.