Race 4A

robert-p-arrigan-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Scott Hoffmann 18.4% 17.0% 14.9% 13.2% 13.5% 9.3% 7.4% 5.0% 1.3%
Wick Dudley 11.5% 13.6% 15.6% 16.2% 12.7% 11.4% 8.6% 6.9% 3.5%
Michael Schalka 11.5% 11.4% 13.1% 11.2% 11.4% 14.9% 13.5% 10.3% 2.7%
George Prieto 13.4% 14.7% 12.7% 13.8% 14.1% 12.0% 9.8% 6.2% 3.3%
Scott Lubliner 6.6% 8.0% 8.8% 9.9% 10.7% 11.7% 13.9% 14.9% 15.5%
William Pilling 4.0% 3.1% 4.6% 6.9% 6.8% 7.6% 11.9% 22.0% 33.1%
Kelly Crane 20.5% 20.7% 16.2% 13.7% 10.7% 8.3% 6.3% 3.3% 0.3%
Kevin Reilly 9.4% 6.8% 9.8% 8.9% 12.4% 14.1% 14.4% 13.2% 11.0%
John O'Riordan 4.7% 4.7% 4.3% 6.2% 7.7% 10.7% 14.2% 18.2% 29.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.