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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55+2.01vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-1.01+1.76vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.10-0.64vs Predicted
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4Colgate University-1.54+0.41vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend-0.80-1.68vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-2.03-0.92vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.92-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01Rochester Institute of Technology-0.5520.4%1st Place
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3.76Penn State University-1.0111.7%1st Place
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2.36Syracuse University-0.1034.4%1st Place
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4.41Colgate University-1.548.1%1st Place
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3.32Penn State Behrend-0.8017.2%1st Place
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5.08University of Rochester-2.035.4%1st Place
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6.07University of Pittsburgh-2.922.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Elliott | 20.4% | 22.4% | 20.2% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| Nathan Mascia | 11.7% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 19.4% | 20.4% | 13.0% | 3.6% |
| Tucker Ballou | 34.4% | 26.5% | 18.4% | 12.5% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Stew Adams | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 23.6% | 21.8% | 9.8% |
| Corey Smith | 17.2% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
| Will Sexter | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 31.1% | 22.5% |
| Jonah Belback | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 17.5% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.