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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55+1.93vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.10+0.33vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend-0.80+0.33vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.01-0.29vs Predicted
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5Colgate University-1.54-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-2.03-0.90vs Predicted
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7University of Pittsburgh-2.92-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Rochester Institute of Technology-0.5521.1%1st Place
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2.33Syracuse University-0.1034.3%1st Place
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3.33Penn State Behrend-0.8017.8%1st Place
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3.71Penn State University-1.0112.6%1st Place
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4.43Colgate University-1.548.2%1st Place
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5.1University of Rochester-2.034.4%1st Place
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6.16University of Pittsburgh-2.921.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Elliott | 21.1% | 22.5% | 22.1% | 17.7% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Tucker Ballou | 34.3% | 26.9% | 19.4% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Corey Smith | 17.8% | 17.3% | 20.0% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
| Nathan Mascia | 12.6% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 20.2% | 12.8% | 3.8% |
| Stew Adams | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 22.0% | 23.2% | 9.2% |
| Will Sexter | 4.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 30.1% | 21.9% |
| Jonah Belback | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 9.3% | 18.0% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.