Race 5A

robert-p-arrigan-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kelly Crane 21.1% 18.5% 15.7% 16.4% 10.3% 7.6% 6.4% 3.7% 0.3%
George Prieto 9.7% 12.6% 16.4% 12.4% 13.4% 13.5% 11.6% 6.4% 4.0%
Scott Hoffmann 18.1% 16.7% 14.3% 15.1% 12.9% 10.7% 7.4% 3.9% 0.9%
Wick Dudley 15.8% 14.9% 14.2% 15.1% 12.8% 10.5% 9.3% 5.1% 2.3%
Michael Schalka 12.4% 14.0% 13.2% 11.8% 11.8% 11.5% 11.4% 8.4% 5.5%
Scott Lubliner 6.0% 6.8% 8.4% 8.3% 10.5% 13.9% 15.6% 16.2% 14.3%
William Pilling 3.8% 3.4% 3.4% 5.3% 7.8% 8.3% 10.6% 22.9% 34.5%
Kevin Reilly 8.6% 8.6% 9.0% 10.5% 12.6% 12.5% 13.8% 14.1% 10.3%
John O'Riordan 4.5% 4.5% 5.4% 5.1% 7.9% 11.5% 13.9% 19.3% 27.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.