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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+4.70vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.68+7.04vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.47+2.94vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.63+5.30vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.38+5.60vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.30+4.55vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+2.12vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.75+0.98vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.07-1.80vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.65-0.95vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+1.61vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.57+1.95vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.64-4.10vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.61-4.57vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.77-6.46vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.73-7.33vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.77-4.22vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-0.13-2.07vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering0.46-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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9.04Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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5.94Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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9.3University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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10.6Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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10.55Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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8.98Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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7.2University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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9.05Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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12.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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13.95Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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8.9Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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8.67Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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12.78Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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15.93Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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13.72Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crew Fritsch | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Cordelia Burn | 12.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Chase Reynolds | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Miles Williams | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 15.3% |
| Grant Adam | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Jack Flores | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Peter Cronin | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Henri Richardsson | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 38.9% |
| Colin Snow | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.