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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.63+8.27vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.68+7.03vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.75+5.81vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+8.61vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+3.91vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.07+1.34vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.47-1.12vs Predicted
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8Olin College of Engineering0.46+6.21vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51-3.41vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-1.10vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.30-0.42vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.65-2.48vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.29vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.64-4.66vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.61-5.77vs Predicted
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16Bentley University-0.13-0.14vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.57-3.43vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.73-9.32vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University1.38-9.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.27University of Rhode Island1.630.0%1st Place
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9.03Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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8.81Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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12.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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8.91Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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7.34University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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5.88Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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14.21Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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5.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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8.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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10.58Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.52Bowdoin College1.650.0%1st Place
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12.71Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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9.34Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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9.23Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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15.86Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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13.57Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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8.68Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.96Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Gary | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 7.0% |
| Jack Flores | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Miles Williams | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 10.9% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Colin Snow | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 17.6% | 18.2% |
| Crew Fritsch | 13.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Henri Richardsson | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% |
| Grant Adam | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 40.8% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 13.7% |
| Peter Cronin | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Luke Hosek | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.