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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+6.38vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.38+8.34vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.57+10.59vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.73+4.81vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+0.88vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.75+2.69vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.77+1.68vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.63+1.47vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.64+0.06vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.61-0.79vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+1.65vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.47-5.93vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.30-2.55vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy0.77-0.90vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.68-6.09vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.65-6.98vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-8.01vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-0.13-2.05vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering0.46-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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10.34Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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13.59Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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8.81Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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5.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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8.69Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.68Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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9.47University of Rhode Island1.630.1%1st Place
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9.06Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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9.21Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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12.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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6.07Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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10.45Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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13.1Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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8.91Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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9.02Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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8.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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15.95Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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13.75Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Luke Hosek | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 14.7% |
| Peter Cronin | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Crew Fritsch | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jack Flores | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Edward Gary | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Grant Adam | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% |
| Cordelia Burn | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Henri Richardsson | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 9.1% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 39.2% |
| Colin Snow | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 14.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.