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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.38+9.40vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.64+7.21vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+2.78vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.63+5.27vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.07+2.60vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.47-0.16vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.77+1.70vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+4.79vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.68-0.18vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.30+0.59vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.75-2.35vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.73-2.92vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.57+0.43vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.46+0.21vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.61-5.78vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-7.13vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.77-4.17vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College1.65-8.94vs Predicted
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19Bentley University-0.13-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.4Roger Williams University1.380.0%1st Place
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9.21Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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5.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island1.630.0%1st Place
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7.6University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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5.84Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.7Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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12.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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8.82Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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10.59Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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9.08Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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13.43Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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14.21Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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8.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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12.83Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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9.06Bowdoin College1.650.0%1st Place
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15.64Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Hosek | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Grant Adam | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Crew Fritsch | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Edward Gary | 4.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Miles Williams | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 14.9% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Stephen Poirier | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% |
| Chase Reynolds | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Peter Cronin | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.5% |
| Colin Snow | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 16.7% | 17.7% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Henri Richardsson | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 10.6% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 16.5% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.