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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.47+4.85vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+3.69vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+6.41vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.07+3.41vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.75+3.69vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+2.69vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.65+2.47vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.63+1.03vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.68-0.08vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.61-0.71vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+1.62vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.30-1.10vs Predicted
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13Bentley University-0.13+3.25vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.73-5.21vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.38-4.69vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.57-2.40vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68-8.15vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.77-5.00vs Predicted
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19Wesleyan University-1.73+0.02vs Predicted
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20Olin College of Engineering0.46-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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5.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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9.41Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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8.69Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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8.69Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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9.47Bowdoin College1.650.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Rhode Island1.630.0%1st Place
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8.92Northeastern University1.680.1%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University1.610.0%1st Place
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12.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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10.9Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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16.25Bentley University-0.130.0%1st Place
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8.79Salve Regina University1.730.1%1st Place
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10.31Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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13.6Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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8.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.1%1st Place
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13.0Maine Maritime Academy0.770.0%1st Place
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19.02Wesleyan University-1.730.0%1st Place
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14.21Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordelia Burn | 11.8% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Crew Fritsch | 14.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 5.8% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Miles Williams | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Edward Gary | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sam Monaghan | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 3.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
| Haley Andreasen | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Dane Phippen | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 14.7% | 33.1% | 12.0% |
| Peter Cronin | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ben Palmer | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 2.7% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Henri Richardsson | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Broadus | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 4.8% | 9.7% | 75.6% |
| Colin Snow | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 16.1% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.