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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+4.34vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.83+4.36vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.42+5.00vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.46+3.73vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.69+2.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.66+0.93vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.00+2.67vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.51-0.21vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.89+0.82vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.49+4.98vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.37-2.84vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-2.59vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.47-5.53vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College0.52-2.34vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.38-3.12vs Predicted
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16Olin College of Engineering0.52-4.58vs Predicted
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17Bentley University-0.55-1.89vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy-0.98-1.69vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University-0.50-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.36University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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8.0University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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7.73Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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7.11Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.93Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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9.67Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.79Brown University1.510.1%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University0.890.0%1st Place
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14.98Salve Regina University-0.490.0%1st Place
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8.16Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.470.1%1st Place
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11.66Bowdoin College0.520.0%1st Place
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11.88Roger Williams University0.380.0%1st Place
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11.42Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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15.11Bentley University-0.550.0%1st Place
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16.31Maine Maritime Academy-0.980.0%1st Place
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14.84Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooke Schmelz | 13.2% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 9.9% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Emmett Nevel | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Spencer Dellenbaugh | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Grace Quasebarth | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 16.7% |
| Joshua Dillon | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Egeli | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Jemma Schroder | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Kitay | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Izaiah Farr | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| James Jagielski | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Archie Bolgar | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 21.2% |
| Tom Conlogue | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 34.5% |
| Julia Beck | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.