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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.00+8.66vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.46+5.87vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+2.38vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.66+2.98vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.38+7.34vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.37+2.05vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+2.17vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.47-0.02vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.89+0.83vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.69-3.25vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.51-3.47vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.83-5.46vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.42-5.31vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.52-2.32vs Predicted
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15Bentley University-0.55-0.02vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.49-1.01vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College0.52-5.49vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University-0.50-2.94vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-0.98-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.66Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.87Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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5.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.98Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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12.34Roger Williams University0.380.0%1st Place
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8.05Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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9.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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7.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.470.1%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University0.890.0%1st Place
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6.75Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.53Brown University1.510.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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7.69University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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11.68Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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14.98Bentley University-0.550.0%1st Place
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14.99Salve Regina University-0.490.0%1st Place
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11.51Bowdoin College0.520.0%1st Place
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15.06Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
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16.03Maine Maritime Academy-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Broadus | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Emmett Nevel | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 13.3% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Izaiah Farr | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Joshua Dillon | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jemma Schroder | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Dellenbaugh | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Riley | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| James Jagielski | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Archie Bolgar | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 21.7% |
| Grace Quasebarth | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 17.5% |
| Alex Kitay | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Julia Beck | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 18.6% |
| Tom Conlogue | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 20.8% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.