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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.10+1.69vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-1.01+2.10vs Predicted
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3Colgate University-0.22-0.05vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.55-0.62vs Predicted
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5University of Rochester-2.03+0.40vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.92+0.34vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-0.45-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Syracuse University-0.1026.5%1st Place
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4.1Penn State University-1.0110.4%1st Place
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2.95Colgate University-0.2221.9%1st Place
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3.38Rochester Institute of Technology-0.5515.8%1st Place
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5.4University of Rochester-2.034.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Pittsburgh-2.921.5%1st Place
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3.13Penn State Behrend-0.4519.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Ballou | 26.5% | 24.3% | 20.6% | 14.8% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Mascia | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 23.1% | 19.9% | 5.0% |
| Matthew Spear | 21.9% | 20.1% | 22.2% | 18.1% | 12.5% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Josh Elliott | 15.8% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 8.6% | 1.1% |
| Will Sexter | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 14.1% | 38.9% | 24.9% |
| Jonah Belback | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 18.2% | 67.0% |
| Bryce Nill | 19.8% | 19.8% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 15.2% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.