Race 6A

robert-p-arrigan-memorial-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kelly Crane 21.0% 18.8% 16.1% 15.4% 10.9% 7.9% 6.2% 2.9% 0.8%
Kevin Reilly 5.4% 6.6% 10.6% 10.0% 12.4% 13.5% 15.3% 14.8% 11.4%
George Prieto 12.8% 13.1% 13.2% 15.1% 11.3% 14.2% 10.0% 7.5% 2.8%
Michael Schalka 11.8% 12.6% 12.5% 13.6% 13.9% 12.5% 11.1% 8.0% 4.0%
Wick Dudley 16.1% 16.8% 16.1% 10.6% 13.0% 10.3% 8.4% 6.1% 2.6%
Scott Hoffmann 17.4% 17.2% 16.7% 14.8% 12.6% 9.2% 7.2% 3.3% 1.6%
John O'Riordan 4.6% 3.8% 4.4% 6.5% 7.2% 10.1% 13.6% 22.8% 27.0%
William Pilling 4.3% 4.6% 3.1% 5.1% 7.2% 8.9% 13.0% 17.2% 36.6%
Scott Lubliner 6.6% 6.5% 7.3% 8.9% 11.5% 13.4% 15.2% 17.4% 13.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.