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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.37+7.16vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.51+5.57vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.69+3.97vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.00+5.61vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.46+2.94vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.42+1.96vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.83-0.66vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-2.50vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.98+7.11vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-0.93vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.66-4.05vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.47-4.04vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.38-1.13vs Predicted
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14Bentley University-0.55+1.34vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering0.52-3.62vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.89-6.05vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College0.52-5.55vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University-0.50-2.90vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University-0.49-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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7.57Brown University1.510.1%1st Place
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6.97Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.61Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.94Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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7.96University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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16.11Maine Maritime Academy-0.980.0%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.1%1st Place
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6.95Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.470.1%1st Place
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11.87Roger Williams University0.380.0%1st Place
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15.34Bentley University-0.550.0%1st Place
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11.38Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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9.95Tufts University0.890.0%1st Place
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11.45Bowdoin College0.520.0%1st Place
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15.1Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
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14.78Salve Regina University-0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dillon | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Dellenbaugh | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Emmett Nevel | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Miller | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Riley | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tom Conlogue | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 19.2% | 35.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Wallace | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jemma Schroder | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Izaiah Farr | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Archie Bolgar | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 22.1% |
| James Jagielski | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Alex Kitay | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Julia Beck | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 19.1% |
| Grace Quasebarth | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 18.6% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.