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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.69+5.84vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.52+9.39vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.00+6.58vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.66+2.88vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University-0.49+9.98vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-0.69vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.83-0.69vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.38+4.02vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.46-1.46vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.55+4.79vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.47-3.37vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11-2.65vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.51-5.72vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering0.52-2.59vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-7.21vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.89-6.20vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.37-9.04vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University-0.50-3.26vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy-2.87-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.84Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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11.39Bowdoin College0.520.0%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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14.98Salve Regina University-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.2%1st Place
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6.31University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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12.02Roger Williams University0.380.0%1st Place
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7.54Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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14.79Bentley University-0.550.0%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.470.1%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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7.28Brown University1.510.1%1st Place
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11.41Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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7.79University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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9.8Tufts University0.890.0%1st Place
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7.96Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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14.74Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
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18.41Maine Maritime Academy-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Montgomery | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Kitay | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wallace | 7.8% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Quasebarth | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 18.6% | 25.9% | 4.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 15.7% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Riley | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Izaiah Farr | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Emmett Nevel | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Archie Bolgar | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 24.5% | 4.7% |
| Jemma Schroder | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Dellenbaugh | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Tyler Miller | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Beck | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 22.8% | 5.8% |
| Amelia Griffith | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 82.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.