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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.69+5.86vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.52+9.67vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.83+3.51vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.42+3.94vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.47+2.73vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.89+4.21vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.50vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.11+1.02vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.00+0.62vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.37-1.81vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.38+1.21vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.66-4.85vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.51-5.12vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University-0.50+1.25vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.46-7.18vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College0.52-4.39vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.35-2.30vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-0.55-2.52vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University-0.49-3.77vs Predicted
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20Maine Maritime Academy-2.87-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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11.67Olin College of Engineering0.520.0%1st Place
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6.51University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Rhode Island1.420.1%1st Place
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7.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.470.1%1st Place
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10.21Tufts University0.890.0%1st Place
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5.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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9.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.110.0%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.19Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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12.21Roger Williams University0.380.0%1st Place
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7.15Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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7.88Brown University1.510.1%1st Place
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15.25Northeastern University-0.500.0%1st Place
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7.82Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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11.61Bowdoin College0.520.0%1st Place
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14.7Wesleyan University-0.350.0%1st Place
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15.48Bentley University-0.550.0%1st Place
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15.23Salve Regina University-0.490.0%1st Place
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19.41Maine Maritime Academy-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Montgomery | 9.0% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Riley | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Miller | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jemma Schroder | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Versavel | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 11.5% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Dillon | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Izaiah Farr | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Wallace | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Dellenbaugh | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Beck | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 4.3% |
| Emmett Nevel | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Kitay | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Annie Yu | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 3.1% |
| Archie Bolgar | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 13.1% | 17.4% | 23.4% | 3.9% |
| Grace Quasebarth | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 18.3% | 21.5% | 3.5% |
| Amelia Griffith | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 83.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.