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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Maryland-1.67+2.10vs Predicted
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3American University-1.07+0.21vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.92-1.02vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-0.82-2.16vs Predicted
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7St. John's College-1.90-2.36vs Predicted
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8University of Pittsburgh-2.52-2.48vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-2.06-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1University of Maryland-1.670.1%1st Place
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3.21American University-1.070.2%1st Place
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2.98Drexel University-0.920.2%1st Place
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2.84University of Delaware-0.820.3%1st Place
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4.64St. John's College-1.900.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Pittsburgh-2.520.0%1st Place
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4.71University of Virginia-2.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Pouliquen | 12.9% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 11.6% |
| Anika Liner | 19.0% | 20.5% | 19.6% | 18.0% | 11.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Paula Cabot Jaume | 22.3% | 23.8% | 18.8% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 26.6% | 22.1% | 18.4% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Brooke Murphy-Petri | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 20.2% | 18.6% |
| Stephen Turocy | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 19.6% | 42.2% |
| Braeton Oliver | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 17.8% | 24.0% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.